Top Thai funds use foreigners coup jitters to buy more stocks
Posted: June 4, 2014 at 5:48 am
(June 4): When Thailands military coup spurred foreigners to pull money out of the equity market late last month, the nations top-performing stock investors jumped at the chance to take the other side of the trade.
BBL Asset Management Co., the manager of Thailands best- performing equity fund during the past five years, has been boosting stock holdings as a bet the junta will accelerate spending to shore up the economy. The Thai unit of Aberdeen Asset Management Plc, which runs the nations second-best performing fund, is also buying amid inflows from local clients.
No other stock market in Southeast Asia has rallied more than Thailands since the May 22 coup as local investors piled into shares at the fastest pace this year last month. While bears say the military takeover has failed to resolve conflicts that led to more than six months of political deadlock, Thai money managers are betting the junta will fast-track measures needed to bolster an economy that contracted by 0.6 percent in the first quarter.
The military governments plan to restore business confidence and accelerate spending will revive the economy, Voravan Tarapoom, the chief executive officer at BBL Asset, which oversees about $13 billion, said by phone on June 2. The firms BBL Bualuang Thanakom Open-end Fund has returned an annualized 29 percent in the past five years, the most among 165 Thai-domiciled stock funds tracked by Bloomberg.
Spending Plans
The SET index yesterday erased its losses since anti- government protests that led to the coup. The Oct. 31 demonstrations marked the start of an escalation in tensions between opposition politicians and the ruling Pheu Thai party that eventually led to Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatras ouster and spurred the army to take over power for the 12th time since 1932.
The Thai stock gauges 3.5 percent rally since May 22 compares with a 0.7 percent drop in the MSCI Southeast Asia Index. The SET is valued at 17 times reported earnings, versus 15 times for the regional measure, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The junta plans to speed up infrastructure spending, including a dual-track train project that was ruled unconstitutional under Yinglucks government. The military will boost investment in projects along the nations borders with Malaysia, Myanmar and Laos, according to Air Chief Marshal Prajin Juntong, its head of economic affairs.
State Fund
Domestic individual and institutional investors bought about 34 billion baht ($1 billion) of Thai shares in May, the most since December, according to exchange data compiled by Bloomberg.
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Top Thai funds use foreigners coup jitters to buy more stocks
Southeast Asia stocks: Most Up; Thai at 7-mth high, M'sia and Vietnam buck trend
Posted: at 5:48 am
HANOI: South-East Asian shares mostly gained on Monday, with the Thai SET Index rising 1.78% to its highest level since Oct 31 as investors pinned hopes on an upcoming economic reform plan while Philippine shares rallied on bargain hunting.
Investors anticipated a spurt in the Thai economy due to economic policies expected to be released on Wednesday by the National Council for Peace and Order, said CIMB Securities analyst Kasem Prunratanamala.
Banking stocks are likely to benefit especially from the plan as requirements for investment loans would grow in the coming months, Kasem added.
Siam Commercial Bank Pcl led the gains on the Thai Stock Exchange with a 4.4% jump, the highest single-day rise since January, Reuters data showed.
Sentiment was also helped by a positive Moody's rating on the Thai economy and a weekend protest against the military coup that was not as bad as investors expected, Kasem said.
Moody's on Monday affirmed Thailand's Baa1 sovereign rating, saying the country's fundamental credit strengths were solid enough to weather cyclical pressures on the economy and recurring bouts of political instability.
Volumes on the Thai bourse were solid, with 10 billion shares changing hands, a level not seen in nearly seven months, Reuters data showed.
Analysts expected the SET Index to gain further, with the next resistance level seen between 1,460 and 1,480 points.
The Philippine stock market also rallied on Monday as investors looked for bargains in shares that were at one-month lows, hit by weaker-than-expected economic growth data, said Manny Cruz, a market strategist with Asiasec Equities.
The Philippine SE Composite Index rose 0.94%, reversing falls since Thursday after data showed the country's economy unexpectedly grew at its slowest pace in two years in the first quarter.
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Southeast Asia stocks: Most Up; Thai at 7-mth high, M'sia and Vietnam buck trend
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